Renewable Energy / Environment
Oil Price Forecast for 2012 - What best performing forecasters think
In this study, we examined if the 2011 oil price developments changed the top 3 performing forecasters and looked at their forecasts for 2012.
There are the key questions of our study:
∙ How have the main crude oil exporting countries and marketing parties performed since January 2011?
∙ Have the 2011 developments changed the top 3 of forecasters if we look at the entire period from January 1999 to December 2011?
∙ What are the most recent oil price forecasts in the 2012 national budgets of the top 3 forecasting countries?
In 2011, the major oil exporting countries again accurately forecasted the oil price: the top 3 of forecasting countries generally stayed within a 10% margin of error with respect to the actual oil price of USD 95 per barrel WTI. They did so in a tumultuous year, which saw a 20% increase in price.
For 2012, they expect another 15% rise of the oil price, to an average of USD 111 per barrel WTI, although the large range of USD 97-120 indicates considerable uncertainty. Market parties have consistently underestimated the oil price over the period investigated (1999-2011).
Oil_price_forecast_for_2012
Pushing forward: The future of Offshore Wind Energy
The global wind power boom is slowly tailing off – especially in Europe. After double-digit growth in recent years, the onshore and offshore wind power market will grow by only around 5% annually between now and 2015. In Europe, the onshore segment in particular is flat. By contrast, China shows the biggest growth potential: between now and 2020, installed wind power output will rise to 20 GW a year. But markets like the US, India, Canada, Brazil, Australia and Africa will also be buoyant in the next few years.
However, growing competition from Asian players in the global market and the desired grid parity for wind power are forcing OEMs to cut costs by 25-40%. A large wave of consolidation in the wind power industry is therefore likely.
The_Future_of_Offshore_Wind_Energy
Market potential in energy efficiency in Southeast Asia
This study, conducted by the Sustainability Committee of the European Chamber of Commerce, Singapore in collaboration with Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, examines the market potential and business environment in the energy efficiency (EE) product and service industry in Southeast Asia. To narrow the focus of the study, five major countries were covered, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam. Together, these five countries accounted for 86% of ASEAN’s total GDP in 20101 and thus serve as a good representative subset of the region as a whole. The main part of the study is based on interviews with a wide range of players and stakeholders in the EE eco-system including companies with high energy consumption, EE product and technology suppliers, energy service companies (ESCOs), government agencies and research institutes.
In light of the growing energy demand in Southeast Asia, energy efficiency programs would offer large energy saving potentials for the region and opens vast new business opportunities. Our analysis indicates that by 2020, Southeast Asia could achieve efficiency gains of between 12% and 30%, a projection that would translate into power savings ranging between 119 TWh and 297 TWh, or USD 15 billion and USD 43 billion. Nonetheless, the actual energy savings will ultimately depend on the commitment of both industry and governments.
Albeit increasing government effort and industry initiatives to improve energy efficiency in the region, there are still some major barriers to be addressed at multiple levels of the value chain to stimulate the diffusion of EE technologies.
Market_potential_in_energy_efficiency_in_SE_Asia
Green Growth, Green Profit
Sustainability is more than just a buzzword – it's shaking up the business world as did the Industrial Revolution centuries before. Just like all revolutions, the green revolution will crush companies and wipe out industries that miss or ignore the signals. Those that fail to offer transformative products and services will miss valuable opportunities for new growth and jeopardize their business.
The book "Green Growth, Green Profit – How Green Transformation Boosts Business" brings together the profound knowledge and broad practical experience of experts from Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, a global strategy consultancy with unprecedented green technology know-how.
It looks at the megatrends driving this revolutionary transformation of the business world and examines how population increase, demographic change, climate change and urbanization are accelerating this shift. It examines the business models in the most important green business segments and regions, and explains how these are likely to develop over the next decade.
Green_Growth_Green_Profit
Light and shade – German PV companies in the global competitive arena
Please see the blow link.
Light_and_shade
From Pioneer to Mainstream - Evolution of wind energy markets
Please see the below link
http://www.rolandberger.com/expertise/publications/2010-02-17-rbsc-pub-From_Pioneer_to_Mainstream.html
Wind energy manufacturers' challenges(Sep 2009)
Please see the below link.
http://www.rolandberger.com/media/pdf/Roland_Berger_Wind_energy_20090904.pdf
GreenTech Atlas(May 2009)
Please see the below link.
http://www.rolandberger.com/company/press/releases/GreenTech_Atlas_2_0.html
Innovative environmental growth markets from a company perspective (November 2008)
Please see below link.
http://content.rolandberger.com/media/pdf/edit/Roland_Berger_Innovative-environmental-growth-markets_Executive-summary_20071101.pdf (PDF, 389 KB)